Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:


Weekly Commentary (Updated Nov. 16, 2023): There’s plenty to digest this week following screenings and the actors out in full force after the SAG-AFTRA deal that ended the strike. However, the announcement of Oscars host Jimmy Kimmel, who will emcee for the fourth time, has awards enthusiasts excited.

This week’s Awards Circuit Column focuses on German actress Sandra Hüller, who could be double nominated for two non-English language performances in “Anatomy of a Fall” and “The Zone of Interest.”

A24’s “The Iron Claw” debuted in Los Angeles, and could make a contender out of character Holt McCallany as the Fritz Von Erich, the patriarch of the tragic wrestling family.

Apple Original Films and Sony Pictures unveiled Ridley Scott’s latest epic, “Napoleon” which stars Joaquin Phoenix as the historical figure. Based on initial reactions, it looks to be a technical awards player at best. My best guess is production design.

Netflix has submitted Todd Haynes’ “May December” in the comedy races at the Golden Globes, which bodes well for Natale Portman in lead actress, and the film making it into their best picture category.

Most significant chart gains: Holt McCallany enters the top five of supporting actor after not charting in the top 30 at all this year. “Oppenheimer” still holds on strong with 13 projected noms including wins in seven categories.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.

The submission deadline for general categories is Nov. 15, 2023. The preliminary shortlist for eight categories is from Dec. 14-18, with the results announcement dropping on Dec. 21. The Oscar nomination period will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominees named on Jan. 23.

The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10, 2024.